Sport Picks
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kaiser E.
77'
77'
Saraiva F.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Carshalton and Wingate & Finchley finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carshalton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carshalton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Wingate & Finchley haven't matched Carshalton's recent run of results.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carshalton | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 FA Cup
Wingate & Finchley vs Carshalton
3:2
Aug 30, 2025 FA Cup
Carshalton vs Wingate & Finchley
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carshalton Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaiser E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saraiva F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Wingate & Finchley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carshalton 34 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carshalton Wingate & Finchley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Carshalton scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Wingate & Finchley let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Carshalton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Carshalton VS Wingate & Finchley
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Carshalton
(Home) 10 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 1 St. Albans
05 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 4 Eastbourne Borough
03 Oct
Ramsgate
2 : 3 Carshalton
27 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 3 Carshalton
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3 Carshalton
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 1 St. Albans
05 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 4 Eastbourne Borough
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3 Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
29 Aug
Carshalton
2 : 0 Brentwood
Page 1 of 3
Wingate & Finchley
(Away) 10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Dartford
2 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2 Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3 Wingate & Finchley
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 28:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Welling | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 3 | Dartford | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Lewes | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Carshalton | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 27:15 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:11 | 19 |
| 8 | St. Albans | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 9 | Dulwich Hamlet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Chatham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Burgess Hill | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 13 | Cheshunt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 14 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 12 |
| 15 | Aveley | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Wingate & Finchley | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 17 | Brentwood | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Whyteleafe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 19 | Maldon & Tiptree | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15:33 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 19:29 | 8 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:26 | 5 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:26 | 4 |
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
