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Cartagena La Union vs Cartagena FC UCAM

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Cartagena La Union and Cartagena FC UCAM finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena La Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagena La Union
6%
Draws
4%
Cartagena FC UCAM
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagena La Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagena La Union come out ahead of Cartagena FC UCAM on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena La Union taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cartagena La Union here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 20%
Cartagena FC UCAM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena La Union Cartagena FC UCAM
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 24 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Cartagena La Union
2:5
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Cartagena FC UCAM
1:0
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Cartagena FC UCAM
2:1
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Cartagena La Union
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena La Union 85 / 100
Cartagena FC UCAM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena La Union Cartagena FC UCAM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena La Union found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cartagena FC UCAM conceded in 73% of 41 recent games.

Cartagena La Union has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cartagena FC UCAM
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena La Union

(Home)
29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0
Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1
Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4
Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1
Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5
Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 7

Cartagena FC UCAM

(Away)
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
1 : 1
Bullense
24 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
3 : 0
Cartagena FC UCAM
17 Apr
Cartagena FC UCAM
0 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
10 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 0
Cartagena FC UCAM
03 Apr
Cartagena FC UCAM
0 : 2
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)