Sport Picks
Cartagena La Union vs Santomera
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
Cartagena La Union in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena La Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cartagena La Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cartagena La Union lately — more wins on the board than Santomera.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena La Union taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cartagena La Union here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartagena La Union | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 42 |
| Wins | 28 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Cartagena La Union
0:4
Dec 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Santomera
1:0
Mar 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Santomera
5:1
Oct 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Cartagena La Union
1:2
May 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Cartagena La Union
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cartagena La Union 58 / 100
Santomera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cartagena La Union Santomera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagena La Union found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (37 games).
Defensive concern: Santomera conceded in 81% of 42 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Cartagena La Union has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Santomera
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cartagena La Union
(Home) 29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 8
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
21 Apr
Cartagena La Union
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
10 Apr
Cartagena La Union
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
27 Mar
Cartagena La Union
2 : 0 Beniel
Page 1 of 4
Santomera
(Away) 13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2 Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1 Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4 Crevillente
Page 1 of 9
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2 Santomera
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1 Santomera
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3 Santomera
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0 Santomera
28 Mar
Aguilas FC B
2 : 0 Santomera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 84:26 | 86 |
| 2 | Yeclano | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 93:38 | 84 |
| 3 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 95:36 | 84 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 82:38 | 83 |
| 5 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 84:40 | 81 |
| 6 | Pinatar | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 68:28 | 80 |
| 7 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 81:33 | 80 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61:56 | 52 |
| 9 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 59:56 | 52 |
| 10 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:45 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48:57 | 48 |
| 12 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:73 | 47 |
| 13 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 59:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Beniel | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54:71 | 42 |
| 15 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 44:70 | 36 |
| 16 | Base Abaran | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 26:81 | 31 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 47:76 | 30 |
| 18 | Mazarron FC | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 40:69 | 28 |
| 19 | CD Lumbreras | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:127 | 18 |
| 20 | Jumilla CD | 38 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 31:111 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
