Sport Picks

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Cartagena vs Bogota

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Moreno Abadia J. C.
18' Event
Montero F.
40'
Escobar A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Cartagena and Bogota finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cartagena
30%
Draws
41%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagena come out ahead of Bogota on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cartagena have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 20%
Bogota Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Bogota
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 13 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.49 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Bogota
0:0
May 18, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Cartagena
1:2
May 2, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Bogota
2:0
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Cartagena
0:1
Jul 21, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Cartagena
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manotas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bogota Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 31 / 100
Bogota 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Bogota has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Cartagena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Bogota
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
02 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 1
Cartagena
30 Jul
Cartagena
1 : 1
America De Cali
26 Jul
Cartagena
5 : 1
Real Santander
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
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Bogota

(Away)
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1
Leones
02 Aug
Inter Palmira
0 : 0
Bogota
29 Jul
Bogota
0 : 3
Dep. Pasto
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
22 Jul
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Bogota
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)