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Cartagena vs Quindio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Cartagena Logo

Cartagena

2 - 3
FT
Quindio Logo

Quindio

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lloreda J.
23'
Torres Y.
30'
Rodriguez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Quindio in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Quindio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cartagena
35%
Draws
44%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Quindio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Quindio have won more games recently than Cartagena.
  • Win probability leans Quindio's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 19%
Quindio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Quindio
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Quindio
2:3
Oct 16, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Cartagena
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Quindio
2:1
Oct 27, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Cartagena
0:0
May 18, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Quindio
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleman J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montero F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Quindio Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloreda J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ibarguen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 24 / 100
Quindio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quindio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Cartagena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Quindio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Quindio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
04 Nov
Cartagena
2 : 3
Quindio
29 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Cartagena
24 Oct
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Cartagena
19 Oct
Cartagena
3 : 0
Patriotas
16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Quindio

(Away)
04 Nov
Cartagena
2 : 3
Quindio
29 Oct
Quindio
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
24 Oct
Quindio
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
20 Oct
Atletico F.C.
0 : 1
Quindio
16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors de Cali 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Envigado 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Union Magdalena 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quindio 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Tigres Futbol Club 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Cartagena 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Real Cundinamarca 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)