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Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena host Real Cundinamarca in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Cartagena have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Real Cundinamarca's 1.19 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Cartagena slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.94) back Cartagena to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cartagena
35%
Draws
32%
Real Cundinamarca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Real Cundinamarca have won more games recently than Cartagena.
  • Model gives Cartagena a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 20%
Real Cundinamarca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Real Cundinamarca
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
1:0
Nov 17, 2025 Primera B
Real Cundinamarca vs Cartagena
1:2
Nov 12, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
0:0
Aug 5, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Real Cundinamarca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 42 / 100
Real Cundinamarca 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Real Cundinamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Real Cundinamarca let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Cartagena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Real Cundinamarca
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
04 Nov
Cartagena
2 : 3
Quindio
29 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Cartagena
24 Oct
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Cartagena
19 Oct
Cartagena
3 : 0
Patriotas
16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1
Cartagena
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Real Cundinamarca

(Away)
01 Nov
Real Cundinamarca
0 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
29 Oct
Quindio
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
24 Oct
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 0
Independiente Valle del Cauca
20 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
14 Oct
Real Cundinamarca
0 : 0
Bogota
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors de Cali 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Envigado 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Union Magdalena 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quindio 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Tigres Futbol Club 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Cartagena 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Real Cundinamarca 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Play Offs)