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Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rativa D.
44'
Salas Y.
45'
Balanta M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Cartagena and Tigres Futbol Club finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tigres Futbol Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cartagena
35%
Draws
49%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Tigres Futbol Club taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 18%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:3
Mar 3, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
1:1
May 30, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Rativa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 28 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Futbol Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tigres Futbol Club has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Cartagena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Tigres Futbol Club
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3
Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0
Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 12 5 3 4 17:17 18
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 12 4 4 4 10:12 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
11 Envigado 12 2 7 3 13:12 13
12 Union Magdalena 12 3 4 5 12:14 13
13 Bogota 12 3 4 5 9:13 13
14 Barranquilla 12 3 3 6 15:18 12
15 Leones 12 2 5 5 10:19 11
16 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)