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Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena host Tigres Futbol Club in the Primera B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Cartagena have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Tigres Futbol Club's 0.87 scored and 0.84 conceded. Head-to-head, Cartagena have won 1 to Tigres Futbol Club's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.75) point toward Cartagena. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cartagena
35%
Draws
24%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cartagena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagena come out ahead of Tigres Futbol Club on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 20%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.7 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
0:0
Aug 29, 2026 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:3
Mar 3, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Cartagena vs Tigres Futbol Club
4:0
Jun 11, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Cartagena
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 40 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cartagena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tigres Futbol Club conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Tigres Futbol Club
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
29 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Cartagena
24 Oct
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Cartagena
19 Oct
Cartagena
3 : 0
Patriotas
16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1
Cartagena
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
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Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
01 Nov
Real Cundinamarca
0 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
29 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Cartagena
24 Oct
Quindio
2 : 0
Tigres Futbol Club
20 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
15 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
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