Sport Picks
Cartagena vs Union Magdalena
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León 
AI Match Summary
Cartagena play Union Magdalena in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cartagena averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Union Magdalena averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Cartagena won 3, Union Magdalena won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Cartagena and 1.63 for Union Magdalena. This points to a Union Magdalena double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cartagena picked up more points recently compared to Union Magdalena.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cartagena | Union Magdalena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cartagena Compare
Union Magdalena Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagena scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
Union Magdalena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Cartagena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Union Magdalena lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tigres Futbol Club | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bogota | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |