Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cartagines vs Alajuelense

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Montero C.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Samadian F.
Own Goal
28'
Sub
Gaete J. In: Moran M.
Out: Gaete J.

AI Match Summary

Cartagines in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cartagines
20%
Draws
33%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cartagines have won more games recently than Alajuelense.
  • Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Alajuelense
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Alajuelense
3:1
Mar 4, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Cartagines
2:0
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Alajuelense
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Alajuelense
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Cartagines
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisneros R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 95 / 100
Alajuelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Alajuelense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Cartagines remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Alajuelense
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
Page 1 of 8

Alajuelense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)