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Cartagines vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Mesen D.
7'
Waston K.
22'
Lopez D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Cartagines and Saprissa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cartagines
22%
Draws
18%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Saprissa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cartagines a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Saprissa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
2:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:1
Dec 12, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Saprissa
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Cartagines
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 68 / 100
Saprissa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Saprissa has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cartagines went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Saprissa
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Saprissa

(Away)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)