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Cartagines vs Sporting FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Bolanos R. In: Gomez I.
Out: Bolanos R.
10'
Barahona C.
18'
Mora J.

AI Match Summary

Cartagines in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cartagines
15%
Draws
54%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagines lately — more wins on the board than Sporting FC.
  • Model gives Sporting FC a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Sporting FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
3:1
Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
2:3
Feb 12, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 23 / 100
Sporting FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cartagines scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Sporting FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Cartagines remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Sporting FC
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

Sporting FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Sporting FC 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
3 Cartagines 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)