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Cartagines vs Sporting FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Urena M.
45' Event
Mendez J.
46'
Sub
Lopez D. In: Marquez R.
Out: Lopez D.

AI Match Summary

Sporting FC in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagines
6%
Draws
4%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagines lately — more wins on the board than Sporting FC.
  • Cartagines are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Sporting FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
2:3
Feb 12, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Urena M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 95 / 100
Sporting FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Sporting FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cartagines found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Sporting FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Cartagines stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Sporting FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714