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Cartagines vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio José Rafael Fello Meza, Cartago
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Pereira M.
31' Event
Moran M.
Penalty Missed
34'
Rivera Stuart J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Cartagines and Zeledon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagines
6%
Draws
4%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cartagines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagines Zeledon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Cartagines
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Zeledon
1:0
Nov 25, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Cartagines
1:3
Sep 19, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Zeledon
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Zeledon
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagines 95 / 100
Zeledon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagines Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zeledon conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Cartagines scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cartagines remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartagines VS Zeledon
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagines

(Home)
25 Jul
Cartagines
3 : 1
Inter San Carlos
10 May
Herediano
0 : 0
Cartagines
03 May
Cartagines
0 : 1
Herediano
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Zeledon

(Away)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
23 Apr
Zeledon
0 : 1
Herediano
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)