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Cartusia Kartuzy vs Zawisza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Urbanski P.
55' Event
Kozlowski F.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Cartusia Kartuzy and Zawisza finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cartusia Kartuzy
17%
Draws
70%
Zawisza
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zawisza come out ahead of Cartusia Kartuzy on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zawisza a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zawisza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 12%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartusia Kartuzy Zawisza
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.14 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.14 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Zawisza
0:2
Nov 14, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Cartusia Kartuzy
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Zawisza
0:3
Sep 20, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Cartusia Kartuzy
4:1
Mar 30, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Zawisza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cartusia Kartuzy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.11
Avg xA / game 0.07

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbanski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozlowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartusia Kartuzy 14 / 100
Zawisza 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartusia Kartuzy Zawisza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Cartusia Kartuzy's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zawisza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Cartusia Kartuzy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cartusia Kartuzy VS Zawisza
0.14 Goals Scored 2.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartusia Kartuzy

(Home)
30 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 2
Zawisza
22 May
Swinoujscie
0 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Luzino
3 : 0
Cartusia Kartuzy
09 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
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Zawisza

(Away)
25 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 1
Kleczew
18 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 2
Zawisza
11 Jul
Zawisza
2 : 1
LKS Lodz II
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
04 Jul
Zawisza
2 : 1
Legia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)