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Casa de Portugal vs Benfica

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Chan M.
22' Event
Lee K. P.
30' Event
Brito A. A.

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-12 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Casa de Portugal
6%
Draws
90%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Benfica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Casa de Portugal.
  • Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 12%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Benfica
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 3 26
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 0 2.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Benfica
0:9
Jan 15, 2022 Elite League
Benfica vs Casa de Portugal
6:0
Jul 25, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Benfica
0:12
May 9, 2021 Elite League
Benfica vs Casa de Portugal
6:2
Dec 11, 2020 Elite League
Benfica vs Casa de Portugal
23:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa de Portugal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Brito A. A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Leong Hou I.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 10 / 100
Benfica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Benfica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 11.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Benfica conceded in 63% of 43 recent games.

Benfica's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Casa de Portugal's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO181800115:454
2Benfica18150391:1545
3Tak Chun Ka I18112529:3035
4Cheng Fung18100840:4430
5Lun Lok1863926:5521
6Sporting Macau18621033:4520
7Policia1845917:3317
8Casa de Portugal18441022:6816
9Monte Carlo18261014:4612
10Hang Sai18221412:598