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Casa de Portugal vs Chuac Lun

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casa de Portugal play Chuac Lun in the Elite League 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Casa de Portugal averaged 0.85 goals scored and 4.67 conceded. Chuac Lun averaged 0.63 goals scored and 3.9 conceded. In past meetings, Casa de Portugal won 0, Chuac Lun won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 27, 2016 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Casa de Portugal and 2.81 for Chuac Lun. This points to a Chuac Lun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Casa de Portugal
35%
Draws
35%
Chuac Lun
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chuac Lun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Casa de Portugal picked up more points recently compared to Chuac Lun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 10%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Chuac Lun
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.85 0.63
Goals Conceded 4.67 3.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2016 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Chuac Lun
2:2
Jan 16, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Casa de Portugal
3:3
May 30, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Casa de Portugal
0:0
Feb 28, 2015 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Chuac Lun
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 29 / 100
Chuac Lun 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Chuac Lun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chuac Lun or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Casa de Portugal attacking → ← attacking Chuac Lun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa de Portugal scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Chuac Lun let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Casa de Portugal went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Chuac Lun lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 14
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
4.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Benfica18152176:947
2Tak Chun Ka I18151271:1646
3Must IPO18112550:2835
4Monte Carlo18112539:1435
5Sporting Macau18104441:2434
6Lai Chi1854926:4219
7Policia18431117:4015
8Chuac Lun18421217:7014
9Casa de Portugal18331222:6612
10Macau U231801178:581