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Casa de Portugal vs Esperanca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casa de Portugal host Esperanca in the Primera Divisió. Little to choose between these two on current form. Casa de Portugal have averaged 0.83 scored and 2.67 conceded recently, against Esperanca's 1.07 scored and 1.85 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.15 vs 1.96, favoring Esperanca. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Casa de Portugal
30%
Draws
62%
Esperanca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Casa de Portugal haven't matched Esperanca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Esperanca a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 10%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Esperanca
Matches Played 6 27
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 10 / 100
Esperanca 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Esperanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Casa de Portugal scored in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Casa de Portugal has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Esperanca lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casa de Portugal VS Esperanca
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa de Portugal

(Home)
11 Oct
FC Santa Coloma
5 : 0
Casa de Portugal
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Casa de Portugal
1 : 1
FC Rangers
12 Mar
Casa de Portugal
1 : 4
Inter Escaldes
Page 1 of 2

Esperanca

(Away)
11 Oct
Atletic Escaldes
1 : 1
Esperanca
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Inter Escaldes 4 3 1 0 12:2 10
3 Atletic Escaldes 4 2 2 0 9:3 8
4 FC Rangers 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Ordino 4 2 0 2 5:11 6
6 Esperanca 4 1 2 1 8:5 5
7 Penya 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
8 Casa de Portugal 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
9 Carroi 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)