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Casa de Portugal vs Penya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casa de Portugal host Penya in the Primera Divisió. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Casa de Portugal at 1 goals for, 2.2 against; Penya at 0.76 for, 1.92 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.71 - 1.10) back Penya to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Casa de Portugal
30%
Draws
23%
Penya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casa de Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Penya have won more games recently than Casa de Portugal.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Casa de Portugal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Penya
Matches Played 5 25
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 36 / 100
Penya 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Penya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Casa de Portugal scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Penya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 25 matches.

Penya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Solid form: Casa de Portugal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casa de Portugal VS Penya
0.67 Goals Scored 0.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa de Portugal

(Home)
20 Sept
Casa de Portugal
0 : 3
Atletic Escaldes
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Casa de Portugal
1 : 1
FC Rangers
12 Mar
Casa de Portugal
1 : 4
Inter Escaldes
11 Jan
Carroi
0 : 1
Casa de Portugal

Penya

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Inter Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Atletic Escaldes 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
4 Ordino 3 2 0 1 5:7 6
5 FC Rangers 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
6 Esperanca 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
7 Penya 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió (Relegation)