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Casa Pia U19 vs Benfica U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casa Pia U19 host Benfica U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Casa Pia U19 have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Benfica U19's 2.49 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Benfica U19 slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2024, ending 6:0. xG projections (1.06 - 2.06) back Benfica U19 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Casa Pia U19
30%
Draws
51%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica U19 have won more games recently than Casa Pia U19.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Benfica U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benfica U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Casa Pia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Pia U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 8 22
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.07 2.49
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Casa Pia U19
6:0
Aug 24, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Benfica U19
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Benfica U19
2:3
Oct 7, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Casa Pia U19
4:0
Dec 30, 2015 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Casa Pia U19
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa Pia U19 10 / 100
Benfica U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Pia U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Casa Pia U19 scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Benfica U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 37 matches.

Casa Pia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casa Pia U19 VS Benfica U19
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa Pia U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Casa Pia U19
4 : 2
SC Farense U19
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3
Torreense U19
05 Sept
Oriental U19
1 : 0
Casa Pia U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 6

Benfica U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 8 4 1 3 8:9 13
3 Rio Ave U19 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
4 Gil Vicente U19 7 3 2 2 5:3 11
5 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Feirense U19 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
7 Famalicao U19 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Torreense U19 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
7 Casa Pia U19 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
8 Leiria U19 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
9 SC Farense U19 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
10 Alverca U19 7 0 3 4 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)