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Casa Pia U19 vs Nacional U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Casa Pia U19 host Nacional U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nacional U19 have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Casa Pia U19 have conceded 2.38 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Casa Pia U19 slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2023, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.69, favoring Nacional U19. Nacional U19 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Casa Pia U19
33%
Draws
27%
Nacional U19
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Casa Pia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nacional U19 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Casa Pia U19.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Casa Pia U19.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Casa Pia U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Pia U19 Nacional U19
Matches Played 34 38
Wins 10 12
Draws 13 16
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Nacional U19
3:3
Feb 25, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Casa Pia U19
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Nacional U19
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Casa Pia U19
1:0
Apr 30, 2016 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Casa Pia U19
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa Pia U19 39 / 100
Nacional U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Pia U19 Nacional U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa Pia U19 scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Nacional U19 let in goals in 71% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Casa Pia U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nacional U19 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casa Pia U19 VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%