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Casa Pia U19 vs SC Farense U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
10' Event
39' Event

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Casa Pia U19 and SC Farense U19 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casa Pia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Casa Pia U19
20%
Draws
0%
SC Farense U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casa Pia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense U19 come out ahead of Casa Pia U19 on wins alone.
  • Casa Pia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Casa Pia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
SC Farense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Pia U19 SC Farense U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs SC Farense U19
4:2
Apr 5, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs SC Farense U19
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
SC Farense U19 vs Casa Pia U19
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs SC Farense U19
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
SC Farense U19 vs Casa Pia U19
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa Pia U19 85 / 100
SC Farense U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Pia U19 SC Farense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Pia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: SC Farense U19 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Casa Pia U19 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

SC Farense U19 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Casa Pia U19 VS SC Farense U19
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa Pia U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Casa Pia U19
4 : 2
SC Farense U19
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3
Torreense U19
05 Sept
Oriental U19
1 : 0
Casa Pia U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 6

SC Farense U19

(Away)
10 Oct
Casa Pia U19
4 : 2
SC Farense U19
03 Oct
Santa Clara U19
2 : 1
SC Farense U19
19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 8 4 1 3 8:9 13
3 Rio Ave U19 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
4 Gil Vicente U19 7 3 2 2 5:3 11
5 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Feirense U19 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
7 Famalicao U19 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Torreense U19 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
7 Casa Pia U19 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
8 Leiria U19 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
9 SC Farense U19 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
10 Alverca U19 7 0 3 4 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)