Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa Pia vs Redondense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casa Pia in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casa Pia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Casa Pia
20%
Draws
16%
Redondense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casa Pia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Casa Pia lately — more wins on the board than Redondense.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Casa Pia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 68%
Redondense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Pia Redondense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 0
Draws 9 2
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 1.09 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Casa Pia vs Redondense
4:0
Dec 9, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Redondense vs Casa Pia
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa Pia 77 / 100
Redondense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Pia Redondense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Pia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redondense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Redondense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Casa Pia scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Casa Pia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa Pia

(Home)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1
Moreirense
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
Page 1 of 7

Redondense

(Away)
12 May
1º Dezembro
5 : 0
Redondense
05 May
Redondense
0 : 3
Louletano
28 Apr
Redondense
0 : 3
Olhanense
19 Apr
Casa Pia
4 : 0
Redondense
14 Apr
Redondense
1 : 1
Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Praiense 34 24 5 5 57:21 77
2 Casa Pia 34 23 1 10 71:29 70
3 Real SC 34 20 9 5 61:22 69
4 Oriental 34 18 10 6 44:22 64
5 Olhanense 34 19 6 9 69:34 63
6 Amora 34 18 6 10 49:36 60
7 1º Dezembro 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Armacenenses 34 13 12 9 42:44 51
9 Louletano 34 12 14 8 37:30 50
10 Montijo 34 14 7 13 50:41 49
11 Sporting Ideal 34 12 11 11 40:39 47
12 Pinhalnovense 34 12 9 13 51:54 45
13 Sacavenense 34 10 9 15 50:49 39
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 34 9 6 19 37:61 33
15 Moura AC 34 7 9 18 45:65 30
16 SC Angrense 34 7 9 18 29:55 30
17 Ferreiras 34 3 8 23 22:77 17
18 Redondense 34 0 2 32 21:104 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)