Sport Picks
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
Match Events
58'
58'
de Almeida L. S.
63'
63'
Sub
Mohamed I. In: Ofori L.
Out: Mohamed I.
63'
63'
Sub
Cassiano In: Mendes C.
Out: Cassiano
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between Casa Pia and Santa Clara finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Clara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santa Clara come out ahead of Casa Pia on wins alone.
- Model gives Santa Clara a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casa Pia | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Casa Pia
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Casa Pia
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0:2
Jan 29, 2023 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casa Pia 10 / 100
Santa Clara 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casa Pia Santa Clara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Clara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Clara has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Casa Pia found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Casa Pia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Casa Pia VS Santa Clara
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Casa Pia
(Home) 20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2 Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0 Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0 Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FC Porto
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
17 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 7 Benfica
28 May
Casa Pia
2 : 0 Torreense
16 May
Casa Pia
1 : 1 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 3
Santa Clara
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
15 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 1 Santa Clara
16 May
FC Porto
1 : 0 Santa Clara
02 May
Arouca
2 : 2 Santa Clara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
