Sport Picks
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
Match Events
18'
18'
Tavares J.
52'
52'
Sousa D.
55'
55'
Sub
Araujo H. In: Felipe Silva
Out: Araujo H.
AI Match Summary
Santa Clara in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Clara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Clara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Clara have won more games recently than Casa Pia.
- Model gives Santa Clara a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Santa Clara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casa Pia | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Casa Pia
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Casa Pia
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casa Pia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Santa Clara Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casa Pia 10 / 100
Santa Clara 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casa Pia Santa Clara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Clara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Casa Pia scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Santa Clara has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Casa Pia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Casa Pia VS Santa Clara
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Casa Pia
(Home) 10 Oct
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Santa Clara
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2 Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0 Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Santa Clara
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FC Porto
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Moreirense
17 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 7 Benfica
28 May
Casa Pia
2 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 3
Santa Clara
(Away) 10 Oct
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Santa Clara
20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Casa Pia
0 : 1 Santa Clara
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
15 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 1 Santa Clara
16 May
FC Porto
1 : 0 Santa Clara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 4 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
