Sport Picks
Casa Pia vs Sporting CP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior 
AI Match Summary
Casa Pia host Sporting CP in the Liga Portugal. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sporting CP have shipped 0.92 goals a game lately, while Casa Pia have conceded 1.72 and scored 0.79. Head-to-head, Casa Pia have won 0 to Sporting CP's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.75 - 2.69) back Sporting CP to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting CP have won more games recently than Casa Pia.
- Win probability leans Sporting CP's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sporting CP here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casa Pia | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 23 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 2.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Sporting CP let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.
Casa Pia found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Recent resilience: Casa Pia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Casa Pia
(Home)Sporting CP
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
