Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa vs AJEL

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

0 - 1
FT
AJEL Logo

AJEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Casa and AJEL finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AJEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Casa
20%
Draws
47%
AJEL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AJEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • AJEL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Casa Clean Sheet 68%
AJEL Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa AJEL
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 19 9
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs AJEL
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Casa
1:1
Apr 28, 2025 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Casa
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs AJEL
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 41 / 100
AJEL 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa AJEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Casa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AJEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS AJEL
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

AJEL

(Away)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)