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Casa vs ASC Jaraaf

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

1 - 1
FT
ASC Jaraaf Logo

ASC Jaraaf

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Casa
35%
Draws
37%
ASC Jaraaf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASC Jaraaf lately — more wins on the board than Casa.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Casa taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa ASC Jaraaf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 19 14
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Casa
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC Jaraaf
1:1
Jun 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC Jaraaf
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Casa
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Casa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 36 / 100
ASC Jaraaf 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa ASC Jaraaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Casa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ASC Jaraaf let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS ASC Jaraaf
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
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ASC Jaraaf

(Away)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)