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Casa vs Sonacos

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

3 - 0
FT
Sonacos Logo

Sonacos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casa in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Casa
35%
Draws
19%
Sonacos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Casa have won more games recently than Sonacos.
  • Model gives Casa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Sonacos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 19 13
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Casa
0:3
Jan 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs Sonacos
3:0
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs Casa
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Sonacos
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Sonacos
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 76 / 100
Sonacos 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Sonacos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sonacos let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Casa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS Sonacos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

Sonacos

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)