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Casa vs US Goree

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

0 - 0
FT
US Goree Logo

US Goree

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Casa
35%
Draws
30%
US Goree
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • US Goree have won more games recently than Casa.
  • Model gives Casa a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Casa Clean Sheet 68%
US Goree Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa US Goree
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 19 15
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs US Goree
0:0
Dec 28, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Casa
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs US Goree
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Casa
0:0
Mar 28, 2024 Ligue 1
US Goree vs Casa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 59 / 100
US Goree 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa US Goree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Casa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

US Goree has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS US Goree
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

US Goree

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Wally Daan
1 : 1
US Goree
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)