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Casalarreina CF vs CDFC La Calzada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Alonso Gomez I.
78' Event
Padilla C.
90' Event
Gabriel S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between Casalarreina CF and CDFC La Calzada finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDFC La Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Casalarreina CF
15%
Draws
64%
CDFC La Calzada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CDFC La Calzada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 16%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casalarreina CF CDFC La Calzada
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CDFC La Calzada
0:3
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Casalarreina CF
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CDFC La Calzada
0:4
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Casalarreina CF
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CDFC La Calzada
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casalarreina CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62

CDFC La Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso Gomez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padilla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casalarreina CF 36 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casalarreina CF CDFC La Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Casalarreina CF scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

CDFC La Calzada has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Casalarreina CF has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Casalarreina CF VS CDFC La Calzada
0.6 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Casalarreina CF

(Home)
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
11 May
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 0
Casalarreina CF
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CDFC La Calzada

(Away)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1
Mirandes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 CD Calahorra 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Berceo 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
4 CDFC La Calzada 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
5 Pradejon 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
6 Alfaro 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
7 Varea 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Agoncillo 4 1 2 1 10:8 5
9 Cenicero 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Anguiano 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 San Marcial 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Comillas CF 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
13 Oyonesa 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Yague 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Casalarreina CF 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
16 River Ebro 4 1 0 3 4:12 3
17 Calasancio 4 0 2 2 5:11 2
18 Vianes 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)