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Casalarreina CF vs Pena Balsamaiso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Medrano A.
70' Event
Cantero N.
87' Event
Rumenov E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between Casalarreina CF and Pena Balsamaiso finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Balsamaiso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Casalarreina CF
6%
Draws
4%
Pena Balsamaiso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casalarreina CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casalarreina CF come out ahead of Pena Balsamaiso on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Casalarreina CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 20%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casalarreina CF Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 1
Draws 3 11
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Casalarreina CF
1:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Casalarreina CF
3:4
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Casalarreina CF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Rumenov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cantero N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casalarreina CF 85 / 100
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casalarreina CF Pena Balsamaiso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pena Balsamaiso conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Pena Balsamaiso's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Casalarreina CF's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena Balsamaiso
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naxara343031107:1293
2UD Logrones B34254591:2979
3Varea34208665:3568
4Arnedo34187964:3561
5Oyonesa341681052:3656
6CDFC La Calzada341591045:3154
7CD Calahorra B341213951:4349
8Pena Balsamaiso341451546:5247
9Yague3411121141:6645
10Agoncillo3410121236:4442
11Berceo341171640:4740
12Comillas CF341141940:5237
13Haro Deportivo34991632:5436
14Vianes34961930:4433
15Autol347101727:5831
16Casalarreina CF34842236:8828
17River Ebro34772029:5928
18CD Tedeon344102026:7322