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Casale vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Ponsat G.
71' Event
Di Lernia M.

AI Match Summary

AC Chieri in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Casale
30%
Draws
54%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Chieri lately — more wins on the board than Casale.
  • AC Chieri are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Chieri have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Casale Clean Sheet 20%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casale AC Chieri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs AC Chieri
0:2
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Casale
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Casale
1:2
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs AC Chieri
0:1
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Casale
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponsat G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Lernia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casale 24 / 100
AC Chieri 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casale AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AC Chieri conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Casale scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Casale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS AC Chieri
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casale

(Home)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
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AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)