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Casale vs PDHA

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Masini B.
35' Event
Masini B.
59' Event
Valenti D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Casale and PDHA finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PDHA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Casale
20%
Draws
0%
PDHA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • PDHA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Casale a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Casale Clean Sheet 68%
PDHA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casale PDHA
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 1 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.5 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs PDHA
0:3
Sep 21, 2022 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Casale
0:3
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
PDHA vs Casale
0:0
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs PDHA
1:0
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs PDHA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

PDHA Compare

Top Goalscorer Masini B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valenti D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casale 77 / 100
PDHA 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casale PDHA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: PDHA has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

PDHA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Casale scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS PDHA
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casale

(Home)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
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PDHA

(Away)
05 May
PDHA
1 : 3
Sanremese
28 Apr
AC Chieri
5 : 2
PDHA
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Fezzanese
1 : 0
PDHA
07 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Ligorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)