Sport Picks
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
Italy
Serie C - Group C Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano 
Match Events
39'
39'
Ciotti P.
44'
44'
Grandolfo F.
45'
45'
Grandolfo F.
AI Match Summary
Casarano in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casarano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Audace Cerignola haven't matched Casarano's recent run of results.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Casarano Clean Sheet 17%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
1:0
Feb 20, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Audace Cerignola
3:0
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Audace Cerignola vs Casarano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Grandolfo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Audace Cerignola Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 36 / 100
Audace Cerignola 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casarano found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Audace Cerignola conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Casarano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Audace Cerignola
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
22 Aug
Audace Cerignola
3 : 1 Cosenza
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Potenza | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Bari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Casertana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Inter U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Casarano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Picerno | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 10 | Monopoli | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Catania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Barletta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Scafatese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Altamura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 15 | A.C. Savoia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Foggia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 17 | Cavese | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
