Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casarano vs Barletta

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Chirico C.
Assist: Ciotti P.
44'
Leonetti V.
45'
Versienti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Casarano and Barletta finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Casarano
35%
Draws
24%
Barletta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barletta come out ahead of Casarano on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Casarano Clean Sheet 14%
Barletta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano Barletta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.61 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Barletta
3:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Casarano
0:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Barletta
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Casarano
3:3
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Barletta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Chirico C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Coccia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 31 / 100
Barletta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano Barletta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Casarano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Barletta conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS Barletta
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

Barletta

(Away)
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
28 Aug
Barletta
3 : 0
Bari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
2 Potenza 6 4 1 1 13:8 13
3 Bari 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Casertana 6 3 3 0 11:8 12
5 Audace Cerignola 6 3 1 2 10:5 10
6 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
7 Casarano 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
8 Picerno 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
9 Salernitana 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
10 Monopoli 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
11 Catania 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
12 Barletta 6 1 4 1 10:9 7
13 Scafatese 6 1 4 1 8:9 7
14 Altamura 6 2 1 3 4:8 7
15 A.C. Savoia 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
16 Foggia 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Cavese 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Giugliano 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
19 Cosenza 6 0 2 4 5:15 2
20 Crotone 6 0 3 3 5:9 -3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)