Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Casarotto M.
8'
8'
Grandolfo F.
13'
13'
Bachini M.
AI Match Summary
Casarano in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casarano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casertana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Casarano lately — more wins on the board than Casertana.
- Win probability leans Casarano's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Casarano have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Casarano Clean Sheet 16%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Casertana
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Casarano
0:3
Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Casertana
3:2
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casertana vs Casarano
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Grandolfo F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Celiento D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Casarotto M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Llano Massa M. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 41 / 100
Casertana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Casertana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Casarano scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Casertana conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Casarano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Casertana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
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27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1 Monopoli
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
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Casertana
(Away) 27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2 Scafatese
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0 Casertana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
