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Stadium Background

Casarano vs Crotone

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Maiello R. In: Celiento D.
Out: Maiello R.
43'
Gallo A.
45'
Armini N.

AI Match Summary

Crotone in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Crotone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Casarano
30%
Draws
37%
Crotone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crotone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crotone lately — more wins on the board than Casarano.
  • Win probability leans Casarano's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano Crotone
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Crotone
1:2
Dec 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Casarano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cajazzo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Crotone Compare

Top Goalscorer Zunno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 59 / 100
Crotone 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano Crotone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Crotone has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Casarano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS Crotone
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
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Crotone

(Away)
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2
Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0
Catania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)