Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casarano vs Foggia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casarano host Foggia in the Serie C - Group C. Casarano are expected to control this from the start. Foggia have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Casarano have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Casarano have won 2 to Foggia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back Casarano to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Casarano
20%
Draws
60%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foggia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Casarano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Foggia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Casarano Clean Sheet 20%
Foggia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano Foggia
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.53 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Casarano
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Foggia
0:2
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Foggia
1:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group H
Foggia vs Casarano
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 28 / 100
Foggia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foggia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Casarano scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Foggia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Foggia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS Foggia
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
18 Oct
Cavese
5 : 2
Casarano
11 Oct
Casarano
0 : 0
Salernitana
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
Page 1 of 7

Foggia

(Away)
19 Oct
Giugliano
3 : 1
Foggia
11 Oct
Foggia
1 : 3
Potenza
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 11 8 2 1 28:15 26
2 Bari 11 6 3 2 14:7 21
3 Sorrento 11 6 2 3 15:11 20
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Scafatese 10 4 5 1 16:13 17
6 Casertana 11 4 5 2 16:14 17
7 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
8 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
9 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Altamura 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
14 Barletta 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
15 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
16 A.C. Savoia 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
17 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 11 1 3 7 9:23 6
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)