Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Sub
Giraudo F. In: Gyamfi B.
Out: Giraudo F.
44'
44'
Zanellato N.
Assist: Ferrara V.
45'
45'
Forciniti L.
AI Match Summary
Casarano in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casarano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casarano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Casarano have won more games recently than Giugliano.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Casarano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Casarano have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Casarano Clean Sheet 16%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Giugliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Giugliano
4:3
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Giugliano
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Casarano
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanellato N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Patierno C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Giugliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Esposito G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Balde I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 48 / 100
Giugliano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Giugliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casarano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Giugliano conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Casarano's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Casarano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Giugliano
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Giugliano
(Away) 19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2 Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2 Sorrento
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0 Giugliano
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0 Giugliano
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1 Giugliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Bari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Casertana | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Potenza | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Casarano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 7 | Picerno | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Salernitana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Catania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Barletta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Monopoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 12 | Scafatese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Inter U23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 14 | Altamura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 7 |
| 15 | A.C. Savoia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Cavese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 17 | Foggia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 5 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | 4 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:15 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
