Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casarano vs Union Brescia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
Casarano Logo

Casarano

0 - 3
FT
Union Brescia Logo

Union Brescia

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Balestrero D.
39'
Cisco A.
46'
Sub
Cisco A. In: Armati L.
Out: Cisco A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Brescia in this Serie C - Group A tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Casarano
17%
Draws
13%
Union Brescia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Casarano average 2.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Union Brescia's 1.38.
  • Model gives Casarano a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Brescia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casarano Union Brescia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Casarano
0:0
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casarano vs Union Brescia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casarano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Balestrero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Crespi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casarano 77 / 100
Union Brescia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casarano Union Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casarano found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Casarano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Union Brescia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Casarano VS Union Brescia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casarano

(Home)
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3
Union Brescia
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
06 May
Cosenza
1 : 5
Casarano
Page 1 of 6

Union Brescia

(Away)
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0
Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Ascoli
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Salernitana
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Union Brescia
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0
Casarano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Casertana1
Atalanta U230
Crotone1
Audace Cerignola1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella2
Arzignano2
Lumezzane0
Alcione Milano0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza-
TBD-
Monopoli0
Casarano2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso-
TBD-
Pineto2
Gubbio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U232
Vis Pesaro2
Pianese1
Ternana1
Lecco-
TBD-
Trento1
Giana Erminio2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/16-finals
Casertana1
Crotone1
TBD-
Salernitana-
Cittadella1
Lumezzane0
TBD-
Ravenna-
Cosenza1
Casarano5
TBD-
Renate-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Pineto1
TBD-
Potenza-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ascoli-
Juventus U230
Pianese2
Lecco2
Giana Erminio1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Catania-
1/8-finals
Casertana3
Salernitana4
Cittadella3
Ravenna3
Casarano3
Renate2
TBD-
Union Brescia-
Campobasso1
Potenza6
TBD-
Ascoli-
Pianese2
Lecco2
TBD-
Catania-
Quarter-finals
Salernitana4
Ravenna0
Casarano0
Union Brescia3
Potenza0
Ascoli1
Lecco3
Catania3
Semi-finals
Salernitana1
Union Brescia3
Ascoli5
Catania2
Final
Union Brescia1
Ascoli4