Sport Picks
Casarano vs Union Brescia
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano 
Match Events
19'
19'
Balestrero D.
39'
39'
Cisco A.
46'
46'
Sub
Cisco A. In: Armati L.
Out: Cisco A.
AI Match Summary
Union Brescia in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Brescia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Casarano have won more games recently than Union Brescia.
- Model gives Union Brescia a 37% chance of winning this.
- Casarano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Union Brescia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Casarano Clean Sheet 16%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casarano | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Casarano
0:0
May 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casarano vs Union Brescia
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casarano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Balestrero D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Crespi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casarano 23 / 100
Union Brescia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casarano Union Brescia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casarano found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Casarano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Union Brescia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Casarano VS Union Brescia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casarano
(Home) 19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Union Brescia
(Away) 20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Union Brescia
5 : 2 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
01 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
