Sport Picks
Casertana vs Audace Cerignola Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta 
Match Events
3'
3'
Girelli S.
8'
8'
Girelli S.
18'
18'
Llano Massa M. T.
AI Match Summary
Casertana in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Casertana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casertana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Casertana have won more games recently than Audace Cerignola.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Casertana Clean Sheet 13%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casertana | Audace Cerignola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casertana
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Audace Cerignola
4:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casertana
1:1
Feb 10, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Audace Cerignola
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casertana
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Girelli S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Llano Massa M. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Audace Cerignola Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Orazio L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casertana 35 / 100
Audace Cerignola 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casertana Audace Cerignola
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casertana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Audace Cerignola let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Casertana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Casertana VS Audace Cerignola
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casertana
(Home) 27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2 Scafatese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2 Scafatese
22 Aug
Casertana
3 : 3 Barletta
14 Aug
Casertana
1 : 2 A.C. Savoia
Page 1 of 4
Audace Cerignola
(Away) 26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0 Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1 Audace Cerignola
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2 Audace Cerignola
28 Aug
Cavese
3 : 1 Audace Cerignola
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
