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Casertana vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Casertana host Casarano in the Serie C - Group C. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Casertana have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.27 conceded recently, against Casarano's 1.53 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor Casarano slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.06, favoring Casertana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Casertana
35%
Draws
19%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casertana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Casertana haven't matched Casarano's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Casertana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Casarano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Casertana Clean Sheet 20%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casertana Casarano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Casertana
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Casarano
0:3
Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Casarano vs Casertana
3:2
Oct 10, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Casertana vs Casarano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casertana 67 / 100
Casarano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casertana Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casertana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casertana scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Casarano has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Casertana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Casertana VS Casarano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casertana

(Home)
23 Oct
Casertana
1 : 1
Bari
18 Oct
Sorrento
0 : 0
Casertana
10 Oct
Casertana
3 : 1
Monopoli
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
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Casarano

(Away)
18 Oct
Cavese
5 : 2
Casarano
11 Oct
Casarano
0 : 0
Salernitana
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 11 8 2 1 28:15 26
2 Bari 11 6 3 2 14:7 21
3 Sorrento 11 6 2 3 15:11 20
4 Audace Cerignola 10 5 2 3 18:9 17
5 Scafatese 10 4 5 1 16:13 17
6 Casertana 11 4 5 2 16:14 17
7 Catania 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
8 Cavese 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
9 Monopoli 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
10 Salernitana 10 3 5 2 14:12 14
11 Inter U23 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
12 Picerno 10 4 0 6 17:18 12
13 Altamura 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
14 Barletta 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
15 Foggia 10 3 2 5 10:13 11
16 A.C. Savoia 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
17 Casarano 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
18 Giugliano 10 3 1 6 15:23 10
19 Cosenza 11 1 3 7 9:23 6
20 Crotone 10 1 4 5 10:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)