Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Maggio M.
39'
39'
Llano Massa M. T.
46'
46'
Sub
Gomez G. In: Musso A.
Out: Gomez G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Crotone haven't matched Casertana's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Casertana's way, sitting at 42%.
- Casertana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Casertana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Casertana Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casertana | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casertana vs Crotone
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Crotone
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Casertana
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Crotone
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Casertana
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocchi G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Maggio M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casertana 42 / 100
Crotone 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casertana Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casertana found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Crotone conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Casertana remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Casertana VS Crotone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casertana
(Home) 13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
10 May
Casertana
2 : 3 Salernitana
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1 Giugliano
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10 May
Casertana
2 : 3 Salernitana
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1 Giugliano
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
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Crotone
(Away) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
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06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
06 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 0 Crotone
22 Mar
Sorrento
2 : 2 Crotone
08 Mar
Trapani
1 : 4 Crotone
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Casertana 1
Atalanta U23 0
Crotone 1
Audace Cerignola 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 2
Arzignano 2
Lumezzane 0
Alcione Milano 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza -
TBD -
Monopoli 0
Casarano 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso -
TBD -
Pineto 2
Gubbio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 2
Vis Pesaro 2
Pianese 1
Ternana 1
Lecco -
TBD -
Trento 1
Giana Erminio 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/16-finals
Casertana 1
Crotone 1
TBD -
Salernitana -
Cittadella 1
Lumezzane 0
TBD -
Ravenna -
Cosenza 1
Casarano 5
TBD -
Renate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Pineto 1
TBD -
Potenza -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascoli -
Juventus U23 0
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
Giana Erminio 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catania -
1/8-finals
Casertana 3
Salernitana 4
Cittadella 3
Ravenna 3
Casarano 3
Renate 2
TBD -
Union Brescia -
Campobasso 1
Potenza 6
TBD -
Ascoli -
Pianese 2
Lecco 2
TBD -
Catania -
Quarter-finals
Salernitana 4
Ravenna 0
Casarano 0
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 0
Ascoli 1
Lecco 3
Catania 3
Semi-finals
Salernitana 1
Union Brescia 3
Ascoli 5
Catania 2
Final
Union Brescia 1
Ascoli 4
