Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casertana vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto Pinto, Caserta
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Llano Massa M. T.
25' Event
Oukhadda S.
34' Event
Cangiano G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Casertana and Foggia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casertana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Casertana
39%
Draws
31%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Foggia haven't matched Casertana's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Casertana Clean Sheet 68%
Foggia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casertana Foggia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Foggia
3:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Casertana
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Foggia
4:0
Nov 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Casertana
0:0
Apr 5, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Casertana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Llano Massa M. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oukhadda S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cangiano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nocerino L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casertana 41 / 100
Foggia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casertana Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Casertana scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Foggia has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Casertana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casertana VS Foggia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Casertana

(Home)
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1
Casertana
10 May
Casertana
2 : 3
Salernitana
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1
Crotone
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0
Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1
Giugliano
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Foggia

(Away)
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)