Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group C 2023/2024

Monterosi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casertana play Monterosi in the Serie C - Group C 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Casertana averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2 conceded. Monterosi averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Casertana won 2, Monterosi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2024 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Casertana and 1.50 for Monterosi. This points to a Casertana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Casertana

44%

Draws

20%

Monterosi

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Casertana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Monterosi.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie C - Group C 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Casertana Clean Sheet 16%

Monterosi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Casertana	Monterosi
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	19	8
Draws	8	9
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	2	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2024 Serie C - Group C

Casertana vs Monterosi

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

4:3

Oct 8, 2023 Serie C - Group C

Monterosi vs Casertana

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacchetti L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Carretta M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Monterosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Piroli D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mbende E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casertana 36 / 100

Monterosi 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Casertana Monterosi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casertana scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Monterosi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Casertana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Monterosi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casertana VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Juve Stabia	38	22	13	3	57:24	79
2	Avellino	38	20	9	9	62:29	69
3	Benevento	38	18	12	8	45:33	66
4	Casertana	38	17	14	7	51:38	65
5	Taranto	38	20	9	9	46:31	65
6	Picerno	38	15	13	10	53:40	58
7	Audace Cerignola	38	12	17	9	54:46	53
8	Giugliano	38	15	8	15	44:47	53
9	Crotone	38	13	13	12	54:47	52
10	Latina	38	14	9	15	44:51	51
11	Foggia	38	13	9	16	40:44	48
12	Sorrento	38	13	9	16	39:47	48
13	Catania	38	12	9	17	39:38	45
14	ACR Messina	38	11	12	15	41:49	45
15	Turris	38	11	11	16	46:57	44
16	Potenza	38	10	13	15	38:47	43
17	Monopoli	38	10	12	16	41:51	42
18	Virtus Francavilla	38	8	11	19	30:50	35
19	Monterosi	38	8	11	19	43:62	35
20	Brindisi	38	7	8	23	28:64	25