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Cashmere Technical vs Caversham

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Cashmere Technical advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cashmere Technical
15%
Draws
28%
Caversham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cashmere Technical come out ahead of Caversham on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Cashmere Technical taking it.
  • Cashmere Technical have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cashmere Technical, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 11%
Caversham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical Caversham
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 24 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 2.39 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Caversham
2:0
Jul 8, 2012 Chatham Cup
Caversham vs Cashmere Technical
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
Caversham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical Caversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Caversham has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Cashmere Technical went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cashmere Technical VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cashmere Technical

(Home)
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals
0 : 9
Cashmere Technical
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
Page 1 of 9

Caversham

(Away)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4