Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Supyk L.
67' Event
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
73' Event
Walker N.

AI Match Summary

Wellington Phoenix 2 in this National League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Phoenix 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Cashmere Technical
15%
Draws
31%
Wellington Phoenix 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cashmere Technical lately — more wins on the board than Wellington Phoenix 2.
  • Cashmere Technical are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wellington Phoenix 2 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cashmere Technical Wellington Phoenix 2
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.48 1.97
Goals Conceded 2 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2024 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
0:4
Oct 20, 2023 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cashmere Technical Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Supyk L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sloane-Rodrigues G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cashmere Technical 85 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cashmere Technical Wellington Phoenix 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cashmere Technical's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wellington Phoenix 2 conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Cashmere Technical has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cashmere Technical VS Wellington Phoenix 2
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cashmere Technical

(Home)
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals
0 : 9
Cashmere Technical
Page 1 of 7

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 0
Coastal Spirit
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birkenhead 9 6 2 1 23:16 20
2 Auckland City 9 6 1 2 20:10 19
3 Western Springs 9 6 0 3 25:16 18
4 Napier City 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Wellington Olympic 9 3 2 4 17:15 11
7 Coastal Spirit 9 3 2 4 18:20 11
8 Cashmere Technical 9 2 3 4 16:18 9
9 Eastern Suburbs 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Western Suburbs 9 1 1 7 9:28 4
Promotion - National League 2024 (Grand Final)