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Cassino vs Arzachena Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sartor M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Cassino and Arzachena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Cassino
20%
Draws
74%
Arzachena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Arzachena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arzachena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Arzachena have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cassino Clean Sheet 17%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cassino Arzachena
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 13 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Arzachena
0:1
Sep 17, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Cassino
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Cassino
3:2
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Arzachena
1:3
May 12, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Arzachena
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cassino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartor M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cassino 10 / 100
Arzachena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cassino Arzachena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arzachena conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Cassino scored in 59% of their last 41 games.

Recent resilience: Cassino stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cassino VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cassino

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
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Arzachena

(Away)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)