Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cassino vs Trastevere Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Lorusso D.
70' Event
Lorusso D.
78' Event
Crescenzo D.

AI Match Summary

Trastevere Calcio in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trastevere Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Cassino
20%
Draws
73%
Trastevere Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trastevere Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Cassino.
  • Model gives Trastevere Calcio a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trastevere Calcio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cassino Clean Sheet 11%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cassino Trastevere Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Trastevere Calcio
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Cassino
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Cassino vs Trastevere Calcio
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Cassino
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Trastevere Calcio vs Cassino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cassino Compare

Top Goalscorer Carnevale D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorusso D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Crescenzo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cassino 22 / 100
Trastevere Calcio 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cassino Trastevere Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trastevere Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Cassino scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Cassino stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cassino VS Trastevere Calcio
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cassino

(Home)
03 May
Cassino
0 : 2
Atl. Lodigiani
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Cassino
0 : 2
Valmontone
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
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Trastevere Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
06 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)